David Ronfeldt
Published on 23 May 2012
This video offers an overview about the TIMN framework: its focus on social evolution (past, present, future), its construction around four cardinal forms of organization (tribes, institutions, markets, networks), its system dynamics, and its future implications.
The 65 year-old iconic Turing Test was passed for the very first time by supercomputer Eugene Goostman during Turing Test 2014 held at the renowned Royal Society in London on Saturday.
Vitaliy and Elena's implicit answer: art will survive, as it always has, even if there is nothing left of the society that bore it. The important thing is that humanity's fixation upon the apocalypse--which they think is viewed in the modern world as an inevitability--does not paralyze us to stop designing and creating new things.
Even after we're gone, Vitaliy and Elena imagine Earth as a dead world in which museums play time capsules to humanity's all too ephemeral creative spirit. Because art survives, and it will be all that is left of us when we're gone.
Facing declining visitors and uncertainty about what to do about it, library administrators in the new town of Almere in the Netherlands did something extraordinary. They redesigned their libraries based on the changing needs and desires of library users and, in 2010, opened the Nieuwe Bibliotheek (New Library), a thriving community hub that looks more like a bookstore than a library.
Guided by patron surveys, administrators tossed out traditional methods of library organization, turning to retail design and merchandising for inspiration. They now group books by areas of interest, combining fiction and nonfiction; they display books face-out to catch the eye of browsers; and they train staff members in marketing and customer service techniques.
The library is also a Seats2meet (S2M) location where patrons are empowered to help one another in exchange for free, permanent, coworking space, and they utilize the S2M Serendipity Machine to connect library users in real-time. They also have a bustling cafe, an extensive events and music program, a gaming facility, a reading garden and more. The result? The New Library surpassed all expectation about usage with over 100,000 visitors in the first two months. It is now considered one of the most innovative libraries in the world.
It is essential for everyone to understand what lies ahead, especially during times of crisis like we have experienced recently. This is why, historically, Philips has always had a sincere interest in studying and anticipating what comes next, whether it be in the next quarter or in three decades' time. Perhaps by virtue of the company's specific regional roots and cultural heritage, one of the guiding principles in the approach adopted by Philips' 'explorers of the future' has always been to involve and engage external and independent experts, thinkers and creative leaders in open platforms for dialog and exchange.
" Consider the disruption that technology has already introduced. The big data company BeyondCore can automatically evaluate vast amounts of data, identify statistically relevant insights, and present them through an animated briefing, rendering the junior analyst role obsolete. And the marketing intelligence company Motista employs predictive models and software to deliver insights into customer emotion and motivation at a small fraction of the price of a top consulting firm. These start-ups, though they lack the brand and reputation of the incumbents, are already making inroads with Fortune 500 companies-and as partners to the incumbents. "
SOIF's Vision
Policy-makers and business leaders make better decisions when informed by strategic foresight, resulting in greater prosperity, security and well-being.
SOIF's Way of Working
Build a community and foster links internationally
Host conferences, seminars, training events focusing on foresight approaches and tools
Convene foresight activities involving multiple partners or countries, support foresight studies and develop foresight capacity
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Ask yourself
Is your organisation being digitally disrupted?
Does your future strategy lack clarity and buy-in?
Is your analogue business model ready for the digital future?
Do you currently balance the timeless wisdom of your organisation with timely and future-compatible strategies and action?
Are your teams inspired by your brand's 2020 Vision?
Do your leaders and staff suffer from change fatigue?"